Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.090483 3.713660 4.411646 5.248596 6.221992 7.315355 8.633292
2025-05-18 2.100823 2.860218 3.804084 5.052311 6.647076 8.602620 11.166442
2025-05-25 1.483955 2.254023 3.301078 4.804725 6.879937 9.610211 13.434221
2025-06-01 1.146642 1.916094 3.046299 4.785989 7.344801 10.908819 16.170354
2025-06-08 0.921416 1.678391 2.869543 4.817957 7.845228 12.270481 19.097500
2025-06-15 0.744796 1.471342 2.690217 4.797979 8.238583 13.488741 21.907833
2025-06-22 0.574377 1.231959 2.408217 4.556950 8.236904 14.088668 23.823780
2025-06-29 0.473796 1.094973 2.271909 4.528660 8.558852 15.199490 26.599265
2025-07-06 0.393432 0.977574 2.147198 4.495327 8.856306 16.282620 29.404153
2025-07-13 0.361785 0.954573 2.196540 4.784504 9.744431 18.414860 34.087421
2025-07-20 0.321452 0.902458 2.177561 4.936715 10.394242 20.186604 38.290393
2025-07-27 0.294567 0.875495 2.205427 5.182709 11.239948 22.362500 43.337642
2025-08-03 0.249665 0.794327 2.105110 5.158597 11.577193 23.681058 47.030988
2025-08-10 0.201480 0.691100 1.935504 4.961535 11.548383 24.324684 49.568043
2025-08-17 0.159819 0.593001 1.757721 4.716645 11.388135 24.698471 51.628573
2025-08-24 0.136188 0.541134 1.684049 4.697792 11.697562 25.996023 55.501895
2025-08-31 0.118253 0.501715 1.634874 4.729097 12.116756 27.539530 59.947297
2025-09-07 0.101176 0.459468 1.569341 4.709394 12.417596 28.863653 64.050304
2025-09-14 0.080263 0.395441 1.427776 4.472276 12.190596 29.076292 65.957345
2025-09-21 0.068541 0.361973 1.369279 4.444443 12.450476 30.329080 70.041500
2025-09-28 0.058474 0.331214 1.312365 4.411654 12.693281 31.560757 74.158496
2025-10-05 0.056278 0.334113 1.365159 4.696113 13.749703 34.646168 82.326413
2025-10-12 0.051538 0.323615 1.371128 4.845854 14.480047 37.055844 89.203324